Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Grazy
32'
Sub
Mayara In: Alice Oliveira
Out: Mayara
36' Event
Micaelly

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviaria W
6%
Draws
4%
America Mineiro W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W have won more games recently than America Mineiro W.
  • Ferroviaria W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Ferroviaria W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 68%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W America Mineiro W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.25 0.43
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W
4:1
Jun 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Ferroviaria W
1:0
May 19, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs America Mineiro W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Grazy
1 Goals
Assists Leader Micaelly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

America Mineiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ana Clara
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 95 / 100
America Mineiro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W America Mineiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviaria W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

America Mineiro W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Ferroviaria W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS America Mineiro W
2.25 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 43%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
20 Jul
Ferroviaria W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
21 May
Ferroviaria W
2 : 1
Palmeiras W
Page 1 of 6

America Mineiro W

(Away)
28 May
Vasco W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
24 May
Botafogo RJ W
0 : 3
America Mineiro W
16 May
America Mineiro W
0 : 2
Atletico-MG W
08 May
Cruzeiro W
4 : 0
America Mineiro W
02 May
America Mineiro W
0 : 0
Vitoria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16Vitoria W121389:286
17America Mineiro W121386:256
18Botafogo RJ W121297:245
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)