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Ferroviaria W vs Bahia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
Ferroviaria W Logo

Ferroviaria W

1 - 0
FT
Bahia W Logo

Bahia W

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Dan
65'
Mariana Santos
67'
Sub
Mariana Santos In: Sirlayne (Sissi) R.
Out: Mariana Santos
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ferroviaria W
30%
Draws
43%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia W average 2.34 goals a game right now, well clear of Ferroviaria W's 1.73.
  • Model gives Bahia W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ferroviaria W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 16%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Bahia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.73 2.34
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Bahia W
1:0
Nov 4, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Ferroviaria W vs Bahia W
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Ferroviaria W
3:1
Apr 2, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Bahia W
3:0
Apr 28, 2021 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Ferroviaria W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bahia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 10 / 100
Bahia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bahia W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ferroviaria W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Bahia W
1.14 Goals Scored 2.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
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Bahia W

(Away)
10 Oct
Bahia W
5 : 0
Jacuipense W
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)