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Ferroviaria W vs Francana W

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W play Francana W in the Paulista Women 2014. Ferroviaria W are favorites here. Recently, Ferroviaria W averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Francana W averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviaria W won 4, Francana W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 9, 2018 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Ferroviaria W and 1.19 for Francana W. This points to a Ferroviaria W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Ferroviaria W
15%
Draws
22%
Francana W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviaria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W picked up more points recently compared to Francana W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 20%
Francana W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Francana W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 7
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.82 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2018 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Ferroviaria W
0:3
Apr 28, 2018 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Francana W
0:2
Jun 7, 2017 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Francana W
7:1
Apr 23, 2017 Paulista Women
Francana W vs Ferroviaria W
0:6
Jul 3, 2016 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Francana W
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 61 / 100
Francana W 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Francana W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ferroviaria W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviaria W attacking → ← attacking Francana W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Francana W let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Ferroviaria W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Francana W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 25
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviaria W1063132:621
2Piracicaba W1062212:920
3Rio Preto W1053225:818
4America Sao Manuel W1042413:1814
5Francana W103168:1810
6Botucatu W100196:371
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sao Jose W10100046:330
2Centro Olimpico W1071243:522
3Portuguesa W1060424:2218
4Taubate W1031613:2410
5Sao Bernardo W1022616:238
6Paulista W1000103:680