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Ferroviaria W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista Women Arena Fonte Luminosa, Araraquara
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Match Events

34' Event
Thayslane
78' Event
Dos Santos
90' Event
Benitez Cabrera D. E.

AI Match Summary

Ferroviaria W in this Paulista Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviaria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ferroviaria W
30%
Draws
43%
Sao Paulo W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviaria W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Paulista Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 21%
Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviaria W Sao Paulo W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 22
Draws 10 4
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.72 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Sao Paulo W
3:0
Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Ferroviaria W
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Paulista Women
Sao Paulo W vs Ferroviaria W
1:1
Aug 19, 2025 Paulista Women
Ferroviaria W vs Sao Paulo W
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Sao Paulo W vs Ferroviaria W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviaria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thayslane
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dos Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sao Paulo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviaria W 37 / 100
Sao Paulo W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviaria W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Paulo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviaria W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ferroviaria W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Paulo W let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviaria W VS Sao Paulo W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviaria W

(Home)
05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2
CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0
Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0
Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2
Ferroviaria W
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Sao Paulo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sao Paulo W
1 : 1
Corinthians W
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
19 Sept
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
CR Flamengo W
12 Sept
CR Flamengo W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria W 7 5 1 1 15:5 16
2 Palmeiras W 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
3 Corinthians W 7 4 1 2 20:8 13
4 Sao Paulo W 7 4 0 3 7:7 12
5 Santos W 7 2 3 2 6:6 9
6 Bragantino W 7 1 4 2 5:13 7
7 Taubate W 7 1 1 5 8:15 4
8 Mirassol W 7 0 1 6 2:19 1
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paulista Women (Play Offs)