Sport Picks

Ferroviario Beira vs AD Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique

Mocambola

AD Pemba

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Beira host AD Pemba in the Mocambola. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. AD Pemba have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Ferroviario Beira have conceded 0.71 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Ferroviario Beira have won 0 to AD Pemba's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 28, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.81) point toward Ferroviario Beira. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Ferroviario Beira

15%

Draws

49%

AD Pemba

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AD Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Ferroviario Beira carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%

Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

AD Pemba Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario Beira	AD Pemba
Matches Played	28	20
Wins	13	6
Draws	8	3
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.07	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.71	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Mocambola

AD Pemba vs Ferroviario Beira

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 36 / 100

AD Pemba 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario Beira AD Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Pemba Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AD Pemba has conceded goals in 65% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: AD Pemba registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS AD Pemba

1 Goals Scored 0.63

1 Goals Conceded 0.63

75% Over 1.5 25%

38% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History