Sport Picks
Ferroviario Beira vs Baia de Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Beira host Baia de Pemba in the Mocambola. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Ferroviario Beira have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Baia de Pemba's 0.65 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Ferroviario Beira have won 1 to Baia de Pemba's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.75 - 0.75) back Ferroviario Beira to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Baia de Pemba haven't matched Ferroviario Beira's recent run of results.
- Model gives Baia de Pemba a 64% chance of winning this.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Beira | Baia de Pemba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Beira scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Baia de Pemba let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Beira
(Home)Baia de Pemba
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 45 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 22:16 | 31 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 29 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 13:14 | 26 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 11:14 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 10:20 | 21 |
| 12 | Sofala | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 8:24 | 11 |
