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Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Beira and Chingale de Tete finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferroviario Beira
22%
Draws
18%
Chingale de Tete
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Chingale de Tete
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 14 3
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
Jun 22, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
Oct 4, 2017 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Chingale de Tete
2:1
Jun 6, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Beira
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 58 / 100
Chingale de Tete 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Chingale de Tete

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Beira found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Chingale de Tete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS Chingale de Tete
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo81619:79
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Maxaquene90454:114
13Chingale de Tete90451:84
14Baia de Pemba70343:73