Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Beira in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ferroviario Beira
20%
Draws
48%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Beira lately — more wins on the board than Costa do Sol.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ferroviario Beira have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Costa do Sol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 17, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
May 25, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 36 / 100
Costa do Sol 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Costa do Sol conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS Costa do Sol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Beira

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)