Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Beira in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ferroviario Beira
28%
Draws
22%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Beira lately — more wins on the board than Costa do Sol.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Costa do Sol
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
1:1
May 25, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Beira
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 49 / 100
Costa do Sol 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Costa do Sol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Beira scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Costa do Sol conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS Costa do Sol
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Costa do Sol943212:815
4Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
5Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
6Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo916210:99
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Maxaquene90454:114
13Chingale de Tete90451:84
14Baia de Pemba70343:73