Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Beira and Ferroviario Maputo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ferroviario Beira
15%
Draws
69%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Beira come out ahead of Ferroviario Maputo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Maputo a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.07 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
Jun 21, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
3:1
Jul 29, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 13, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 10 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Ferroviario Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Ferroviario Maputo let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS Ferroviario Maputo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Beira

(Home)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario Maputo

(Away)
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
ENH Vilankulo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 19 6 2 11 10:20 20
12 Sofala 21 4 6 11 10:24 18
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)