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Ferroviario Beira vs Matchejde De Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2023 game between Ferroviario Beira and Matchejde De Maputo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Beira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviario Beira
6%
Draws
4%
Matchejde De Maputo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Matchejde De Maputo haven't matched Ferroviario Beira's recent run of results.
  • Ferroviario Beira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Matchejde De Maputo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Matchejde De Maputo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2023 Mocambola
Matchejde De Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
Apr 30, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Matchejde De Maputo
3:1
Sep 7, 2013 Mocambola
Matchejde De Maputo vs Ferroviario Beira
2:4
Apr 13, 2013 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Matchejde De Maputo
1:0
Nov 6, 2011 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Matchejde De Maputo
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 85 / 100
Matchejde De Maputo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Matchejde De Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matchejde De Maputo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Ferroviario Beira has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Matchejde De Maputo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ferroviario Beira scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%