Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Beira vs Maxaquene Prediction & H2H Stats

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ferroviario Beira
35%
Draws
13%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira have won more games recently than Maxaquene.
  • Ferroviario Beira are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 68%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Beira Maxaquene
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.11 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Beira
1:2
May 21, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Maxaquene
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
Jul 21, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Maxaquene
2:0
Aug 18, 2018 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Beira
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Beira 95 / 100
Maxaquene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Beira Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Beira found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Maxaquene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Ferroviario Beira remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Beira VS Maxaquene
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Beira

(Home)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6

Maxaquene

(Away)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Maxaquene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 UD Songo 18 6 10 2 20:13 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
6 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 18 1 7 10 8:23 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)