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Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar

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Pernambucano 2 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Pernambucano 2 2014 game between Ferroviario do Cabo and Jaguar finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jaguar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ferroviario do Cabo
30%
Draws
23%
Jaguar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario do Cabo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario do Cabo haven't matched Jaguar's recent run of results.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Jaguar taking it.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ferroviario do Cabo Clean Sheet 20%
Jaguar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario do Cabo Jaguar
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
1:0
Sep 14, 2022 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Ferroviario do Cabo
0:1
Aug 31, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
2:5
Aug 20, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Jaguar vs Ferroviario do Cabo
5:2
Aug 3, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Ferroviario do Cabo vs Jaguar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario do Cabo 24 / 100
Jaguar 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario do Cabo Jaguar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jaguar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Ferroviario do Cabo found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Jaguar has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Difficult form: Jaguar registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Jaguar
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario do Cabo

(Home)
11 Nov
Flamengo Arcoverde
7 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
05 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
2 : 2
1º de Maio
01 Nov
Ferroviario do Cabo
0 : 3
Decisao
28 Oct
Ibis Sport Club
5 : 1
Ferroviario do Cabo
25 Oct
Atletico PE
2 : 2
Ferroviario do Cabo
Page 1 of 6

Jaguar

(Away)
31 Jan
Jaguar
1 : 2
Maguary
28 Jan
Santa Cruz
6 : 0
Jaguar
25 Jan
Retro
1 : 1
Jaguar
22 Jan
Jaguar
0 : 4
Nautico
17 Jan
Decisao
2 : 0
Jaguar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belo Jardim 10 6 3 1 24:7 21
2 Altinho FC 10 5 4 1 17:7 19
3 Jaguar 10 4 3 3 16:15 15
4 Araripina 10 3 6 1 18:12 15
5 Ibis Sport Club 10 2 1 7 10:19 7
6 Ferroviario do Cabo 10 0 3 7 15:40 3
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vera Cruz 10 6 3 1 22:8 21
2 Timbauba FC 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
3 Atletico PE 10 3 5 2 11:9 14
4 Afogados da Ingazeira 10 3 5 2 14:13 14
5 Olinda FC 10 2 3 5 15:18 9
6 Centro Limoeirense 10 1 1 8 5:22 4
Promotion - Pernambucano 2 2014 (Play Offs)