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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Lichinga and Costa do Sol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ferroviario Lichinga
15%
Draws
42%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario Lichinga's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 68%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.42 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:0
Sep 23, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
3:1
May 26, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 46 / 100
Costa do Sol 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario Lichinga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Costa do Sol has conceded goals in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS Costa do Sol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Lichinga

(Home)
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
17 Aug
Sofala
0 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
14 Aug
Ferroviario Beira
3 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
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Costa do Sol

(Away)
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Ferroviario Beira 17 9 7 1 23:10 34
3 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 16 8 3 5 16:13 27
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 ENH Vilankulo 16 3 8 5 18:16 17
12 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)