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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Lichinga and Costa do Sol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ferroviario Lichinga
17%
Draws
13%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ferroviario Lichinga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 68%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol
Matches Played 24 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:0
Sep 23, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
3:1
May 26, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 77 / 100
Costa do Sol 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario Lichinga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Costa do Sol has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS Costa do Sol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo81619:79
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Maxaquene90454:114
13Chingale de Tete90451:84
14Baia de Pemba70343:73