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AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Lichinga host Costa do Sol in the Mocambola 2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Costa do Sol have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Ferroviario Lichinga have conceded 0.38 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Costa do Sol slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.75) point toward Ferroviario Lichinga. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferroviario Lichinga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa do Sol.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ferroviario Lichinga.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Mocambola 2025 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Lichinga | Costa do Sol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 26 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.38 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 79% of their last 24 games.
Costa do Sol let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Costa do Sol lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |