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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2025
Sun, Dec 7, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Lichinga host Costa do Sol in the Mocambola 2025. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Costa do Sol have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Ferroviario Lichinga have conceded 0.38 and scored 0.75. Past meetings favor Costa do Sol slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 0.75) point toward Ferroviario Lichinga. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ferroviario Lichinga
33%
Draws
27%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Costa do Sol.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Ferroviario Lichinga.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Mocambola 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol
Matches Played 24 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 12
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:0
Sep 23, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Ferroviario Lichinga
3:1
May 26, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Costa do Sol
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 40 / 100
Costa do Sol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Costa do Sol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 58% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Costa do Sol lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS Costa do Sol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Songo22183150:1357
2Associacao Black Bulls23116635:2639
3Ferroviario Beira23107619:1337
4Ferroviario Lichinga2297638:3134
5Ferroviario Maputo23712425:1833
6Baia de Pemba2295824:2132
7ENH Vilankulo24710722:2131
8Costa do Sol23710618:1831
9Ferroviario Nacala2387816:1731
10Chingale de Tete2269722:2127
11Ferroviario Nampula2268821:2926
12Textafrica23481115:3020
13Desportivo de Nacala20261213:3112
14Desportivo Matola22241611:4010