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Ferroviario Lichinga vs Desportivo Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2021 game between Ferroviario Lichinga and Desportivo Maputo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Lichinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ferroviario Lichinga
6%
Draws
4%
Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ferroviario Lichinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Lichinga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Lichinga a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mocambola 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 18%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Lichinga Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Desportivo Maputo
3:0
Jun 13, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Lichinga 85 / 100
Desportivo Maputo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Lichinga Desportivo Maputo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Defensive concern: Desportivo Maputo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Lichinga VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%