Sport Picks
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Maputo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Lichinga in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Lichinga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ferroviario Lichinga at 1.19 per game, Ferroviario Maputo at 0.83.
- Ferroviario Lichinga are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Lichinga | Ferroviario Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.08 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:0
Jul 27, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:2
May 19, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Lichinga 36 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Lichinga Ferroviario Maputo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 65% of their last 26 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Lichinga VS Ferroviario Maputo
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Lichinga
(Home) 19 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
09 Oct
Costa do Sol
2 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1 UD Songo
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Maputo
(Away) 19 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
Page 1 of 6
19 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 45 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 25:17 | 37 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 23:16 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Nampula | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 34 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 29 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 13:14 | 26 |
| 9 | ENH Vilankulo | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 11:16 | 22 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 10:20 | 21 |
| 12 | Sofala | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 21 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 8:26 | 11 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
