Sport Picks
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Ferroviario Lichinga and Ferroviario Nampula finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario Lichinga.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Nampula come out ahead of Ferroviario Lichinga on wins alone.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Lichinga taking it.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ferroviario Lichinga Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Lichinga | Ferroviario Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Jun 17, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:1
Dec 28, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
0:0
Sep 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Lichinga vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Oct 7, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Lichinga
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Lichinga 59 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Lichinga Ferroviario Nampula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Lichinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Lichinga scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Ferroviario Lichinga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Nampula let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Lichinga VS Ferroviario Nampula
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Lichinga
(Home) 09 Oct
Costa do Sol
2 : 0 Ferroviario Lichinga
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
30 Aug
AD Pemba
0 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
07 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1 UD Songo
29 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1 Maxaquene
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Nampula
(Away) 10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10:12 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
