Sport Picks
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete Prediction & H2H Stats
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Maputo in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Maputo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- Chingale de Tete haven't matched Ferroviario Maputo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ferroviario Maputo's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Chingale de Tete Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Maputo | Chingale de Tete |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.81 | 0.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.78 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:0
May 18, 2026 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Chingale de Tete
1:1
Aug 20, 2025 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Sep 10, 2017 Mocambola
Chingale de Tete vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Maputo 50 / 100
Chingale de Tete 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Maputo Chingale de Tete
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chingale de Tete's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Recent resilience: Ferroviario Maputo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Chingale de Tete lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (27 games).
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Maputo VS Chingale de Tete
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Maputo
(Home) 15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
09 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0 AD Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
Page 1 of 3
Chingale de Tete
(Away) 16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1 Sofala
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
10 Aug
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
04 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Chingale de Tete
01 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 24:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 34 |
| 4 | UD Songo | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 20:13 | 28 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Maputo | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 13:11 | 23 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Maxaquene | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 8:23 | 10 |
| 14 | Chingale de Tete | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 4:17 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
