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Ferroviario Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Ferroviario Maputo and Incomati Xinavane finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ferroviario Maputo
35%
Draws
35%
Incomati Xinavane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Maputo come out ahead of Incomati Xinavane on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Maputo taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Incomati Xinavane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Incomati Xinavane
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.77 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
0:0
May 15, 2022 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:1
Oct 3, 2021 Mocambola
Incomati Xinavane vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Jun 13, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
2:0
Aug 24, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Incomati Xinavane
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 51 / 100
Incomati Xinavane 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Incomati Xinavane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ferroviario Maputo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ferroviario Maputo scored in 51% of their last 35 games.

Incomati Xinavane has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
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Incomati Xinavane

(Away)
04 Dec
Incomati Xinavane
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
27 Nov
UD Songo
0 : 0
Incomati Xinavane
20 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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