Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Maputo in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Ferroviario Maputo
30%
Draws
29%
Maxaquene
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ferroviario Maputo lately — more wins on the board than Maxaquene.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Maputo a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Maxaquene
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.86 0.66
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
1:0
Dec 8, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Aug 10, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
3:1
Jul 15, 2018 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
2:3
Mar 11, 2018 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Maputo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 59 / 100
Maxaquene 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Maxaquene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Ferroviario Maputo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Maputo scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Maxaquene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS Maxaquene
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
09 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0
AD Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
Baia de Pemba
27 Jul
Ferroviario Maputo
2 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
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Maxaquene

(Away)
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
14 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Maxaquene
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
16 Jul
Maxaquene
1 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 13 8 5 0 18:4 29
2 Ferroviario Beira 14 7 6 1 18:7 27
3 Ferroviario Nampula 13 7 3 3 17:15 24
4 Costa do Sol 13 6 4 3 17:9 22
5 UD Songo 14 4 9 1 14:10 21
6 Ferroviario Lichinga 13 6 3 4 11:11 21
7 Sofala 14 4 5 5 8:14 17
8 Ferroviario Nacala 13 4 4 5 7:10 16
9 Ferroviario Maputo 13 4 3 6 8:8 15
10 ENH Vilankulo 13 2 8 3 15:13 14
11 Baia de Pemba 13 2 6 5 6:9 12
12 AD Pemba 13 3 2 8 6:17 11
13 Maxaquene 13 1 5 7 5:13 8
14 Chingale de Tete 14 1 5 8 2:12 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)