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Ferroviario Maputo vs Otoho d'Oyo

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Bokouya W.

AI Match Summary

Otoho d'Oyo in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ferroviario Maputo
30%
Draws
33%
Otoho d'Oyo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Otoho d'Oyo at 1.67 per game, Ferroviario Maputo at 0.79.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Maputo taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Otoho d'Oyo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 20%
Otoho d'Oyo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Maputo Otoho d'Oyo
Matches Played 28 15
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.79 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.79 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Otoho d'Oyo vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Ferroviario Maputo vs Otoho d'Oyo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Maputo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Otoho d'Oyo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bokouya W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Maputo 42 / 100
Otoho d'Oyo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Maputo Otoho d'Oyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ferroviario Maputo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ferroviario Maputo scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Otoho d'Oyo let in goals in 53% of their last 15 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Maputo VS Otoho d'Oyo
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Maputo

(Home)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

Otoho d'Oyo

(Away)
22 Mar
Zamalek
2 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
14 Mar
Otoho d'Oyo
1 : 1
Zamalek
15 Feb
CR Belouizdad
2 : 1
Otoho d'Oyo
08 Feb
Otoho d'Oyo
3 : 0
Stellenbosch FC
01 Feb
Otoho d'Oyo
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Asante Kotoko 5
Kwara 3
TBD -
Wydad Athletic -
Generation Foot 4
Academie de FAD 6
TBD -
USM Alger -
Bhantal 3
Hafia 5
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
USFA 3
Gbohloe-Su 0
Abia Warriors 1
Djoliba 2
Nigelec 0
Olympique de Safi 6
Stade Tunisien 2
SNIM 0
Aigle Royal 2
San Pedro 3
Black Man Warrior 1
Coton FC 4
Dekedda 2
Zamala Ruwaba 2
TBD -
Zamalek -
Welayta Dicha 1
Al-Ittihad 3
TBD -
Al Masry -
NEC FC 3
Nairobi United 3
Madani 1
Etoile Sahel 3
Port 2
KMKM 4
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Azam 4
Flambeau du Centre 4
Al Akhdar 3
Rayon Sport 1
Singida Black Stars 3
Foresters 1
15 de Agosto 4
TBD -
Stellenbosch FC -
FC Libreville 2
Zesco 5
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Jwaneng Galaxy 2
Simba 3
Djabal 0
Kabuscorp 1
Kaizer Chiefs 2
AS Maniema 4
Pamplemousses 3
Young Africans 0
Royal Leopards 7
Ferroviario Maputo 3
AS Fanalamanga 2
Primeiro de Agosto 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Final
Asante Kotoko 1
Wydad Athletic 6
Academie de FAD 1
USM Alger 3
Hafia 1
CR Belouizdad 3
USFA 1
Djoliba 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Stade Tunisien 2
San Pedro 4
Coton FC 1
Dekedda 0
Zamalek 7
Al-Ittihad 1
Al Masry 2
Nairobi United 3
Etoile Sahel 2
KMKM 0
Azam 9
Flambeau du Centre 2
Singida Black Stars 4
15 de Agosto 1
Stellenbosch FC 4
Zesco 5
Jwaneng Galaxy 4
Simba 1
Kaizer Chiefs 3
AS Maniema 3
Royal Leopards 2
Ferroviario Maputo 0
Otoho d'Oyo 3