Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nacala vs Ferroviario Beira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nacala in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nacala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nacala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Ferroviario Beira average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Ferroviario Nacala's 0.71.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Nacala taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Ferroviario Nacala Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nacala | Ferroviario Beira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Ferroviario Beira
2:0
Jul 3, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nacala
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs Ferroviario Nacala
1:0
Aug 27, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nacala vs Ferroviario Beira
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario Nacala 85 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Nacala Ferroviario Beira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Nacala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ferroviario Nacala remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Ferroviario Beira's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Ferroviario Nacala scored in 46% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario Nacala VS Ferroviario Beira
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario Nacala
(Home) 13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2 Sofala
16 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2 Sofala
02 Sept
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
17 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviario Beira
(Away) 13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2 Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0 Ferroviario Beira
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1 Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 45 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 16:15 | 29 |
| 7 | UD Songo | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 13:14 | 26 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 11:14 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 21:19 | 21 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10:24 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7:19 | 15 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 20 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 8:24 | 11 |
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