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Ferroviario Nampula vs Desportivo Maputo Prediction & H2H Stats

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2021 game between Ferroviario Nampula and Desportivo Maputo finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Desportivo Maputo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ferroviario Nampula
30%
Draws
16%
Desportivo Maputo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Desportivo Maputo Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula Desportivo Maputo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2021 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:1
Jul 24, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Desportivo Maputo
0:1
Nov 3, 2019 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:0
Jul 14, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Desportivo Maputo
0:2
Oct 23, 2016 Mocambola
Desportivo Maputo vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 31 / 100
Desportivo Maputo 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula Desportivo Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Nampula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ferroviario Nampula scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Desportivo Maputo let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviario Nampula remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Nampula

(Home)
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
Ferroviario Maputo
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Desportivo Maputo

(Away)
07 Nov
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 1
Desportivo Maputo
30 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
1 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
23 Oct
Incomati Xinavane
1 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
16 Oct
Desportivo Maputo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
03 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Desportivo Maputo
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