Sport Picks
Ferroviario Nampula vs Ferroviario Maputo
Mozambique
Mocambola 2025 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nampula play Ferroviario Maputo in the Mocambola 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviario Nampula averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Ferroviario Maputo averaged 0.81 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario Nampula won 0, Ferroviario Maputo won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Dec 21, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Ferroviario Nampula and 0.56 for Ferroviario Maputo. This points to a Ferroviario Nampula double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferroviario Nampula picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviario Maputo.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 0.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario Nampula | Ferroviario Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Nampula Compare
Ferroviario Maputo Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario Nampula scored in 67% of their last 27 games.
Ferroviario Maputo let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Ferroviario Maputo lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |