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Ferroviario Nampula vs Sofala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula Logo

Ferroviario Nampula

2 - 0
FT
Sofala Logo

Sofala

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario Nampula in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nampula.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ferroviario Nampula
15%
Draws
0%
Sofala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario Nampula have won more games recently than Sofala.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Nampula taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 20%
Sofala Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Nampula Sofala
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.11 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Sofala
2:0
Jul 2, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Nampula 85 / 100
Sofala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Nampula Sofala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Nampula Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sofala lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviario Nampula scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferroviario Nampula went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario Nampula VS Sofala
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Nampula

(Home)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6

Sofala

(Away)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2
Sofala
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 19 6 2 11 10:20 20
12 Sofala 21 4 6 11 10:24 18
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
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