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Ferroviario-PI U20 vs Caicara U20

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
3 - 0
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario-PI U20 play Caicara U20 in the Piauiense U20. Ferroviario-PI U20 are favorites here. Recently, Ferroviario-PI U20 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Caicara U20 averaged 0.5 goals scored and 3.88 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario-PI U20 won 1, Caicara U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ferroviario-PI U20 and 1.00 for Caicara U20. This points to a Ferroviario-PI U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Ferroviario-PI U20
25%
Draws
15%
Caicara U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ferroviario-PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ferroviario-PI U20 picked up more points recently compared to Caicara U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Ferroviario-PI U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Caicara U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario-PI U20 Caicara U20
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 3 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Piauiense U20
Ferroviario-PI U20 vs Caicara U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario-PI U20 59 / 100
Caicara U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario-PI U20 Caicara U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario-PI U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ferroviario-PI U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviario-PI U20 attacking → ← attacking Caicara U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI U20 scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Caicara U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferroviario-PI U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caicara U20 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 1
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ferroviario-PI U2032106:27
2Comercial PI U2022006:06
3Julho Esporte U2021014:23
4Parnahyba U2020111:41
5Caicara U2030030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Picos U2010100:01
2Corisabba U2010100:01
3Oeirense U2000000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atletico-PI U20330011:19
2Fluminense Piaui U2021104:14
3River-PI U2021013:33
4Tiradentes-PI U2020112:51
5AE Altos U2030031:110