Sport Picks

Brazil

Piauiense U20

Comercial PI U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario-PI U20 play Comercial PI U20 in the Piauiense U20. Comercial PI U20 are favorites here. Recently, Ferroviario-PI U20 averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Comercial PI U20 averaged 1.67 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario-PI U20 won 0, Comercial PI U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 4, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ferroviario-PI U20 and 1.00 for Comercial PI U20. This points to a Comercial PI U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Ferroviario-PI U20

25%

Draws

60%

Comercial PI U20

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Ferroviario-PI U20 picked up more points recently compared to Comercial PI U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Ferroviario-PI U20 Clean Sheet 23%

Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario-PI U20	Comercial PI U20
Matches Played	8	9
Wins	3	5
Draws	1	2
Losses	4	2
Goals Scored	1.13	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.89
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Piauiense U20

Comercial PI U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario-PI U20 18 / 100

Comercial PI U20 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario-PI U20 Comercial PI U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Comercial PI U20 & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviario-PI U20 attacking → ← attacking Comercial PI U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI U20 scored in 50% of their last 8 games.

Comercial PI U20 let in goals in 33% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ferroviario-PI U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Comercial PI U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 17

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ferroviario-PI U20	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Comercial PI U20	2	2	0	0	6:0	6
3	Julho Esporte U20	2	1	0	1	4:2	3
4	Parnahyba U20	2	0	1	1	1:4	1
5	Caicara U20	3	0	0	3	0:9	0

Pos	Team	P	D	GD	Pts
1	Picos U20	1	1	0:0	1
2	Corisabba U20	1	1	0:0	1
3	Oeirense U20	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-PI U20	3	3	0	0	11:1	9
2	Fluminense Piaui U20	2	1	1	0	4:1	4
3	River-PI U20	2	1	0	1	3:3	3
4	Tiradentes-PI U20	2	0	1	1	2:5	1
5	AE Altos U20	3	0	0	3	1:11	0

Ferroviario-PI U20 vs Comercial PI U20

Brazil