Sport Picks

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Ferroviario-PI U20 vs Comercial PI U20

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Moreira R.
64' Event
Moreira R.
65' Event
Kaique

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense U20 game between Ferroviario-PI U20 and Comercial PI U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial PI U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviario-PI U20
15%
Draws
54%
Comercial PI U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comercial PI U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comercial PI U20 come out ahead of Ferroviario-PI U20 on wins alone.
  • Comercial PI U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ferroviario-PI U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Comercial PI U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario-PI U20 Comercial PI U20
Matches Played 10 12
Wins 3 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.7 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Piauiense U20
Ferroviario-PI U20 vs Comercial PI U20
1:3
Jun 4, 2025 Piauiense U20
Comercial PI U20 vs Ferroviario-PI U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario-PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Comercial PI U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Filho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario-PI U20 10 / 100
Comercial PI U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario-PI U20 Comercial PI U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI U20 scored in 60% of their last 10 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ferroviario-PI U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Comercial PI U20 let in goals in 50% of their last 12 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario-PI U20 VS Comercial PI U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario-PI U20

(Home)
25 Jul
Fluminense Piaui U20
5 : 1
Ferroviario-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
07 Jul
Julho Esporte U20
1 : 2
Ferroviario-PI U20
04 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
3 : 0
Caicara U20
01 Jul
Parnahyba U20
1 : 1
Ferroviario-PI U20
Page 1 of 2

Comercial PI U20

(Away)
27 Jul
Comercial PI U20
1 : 2
River-PI U20
15 Jul
Ferroviario-PI U20
1 : 3
Comercial PI U20
10 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 1
Julho Esporte U20
08 Jul
Caicara U20
0 : 3
Comercial PI U20
06 Jul
Comercial PI U20
3 : 0
Parnahyba U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comercial PI U20 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 Ferroviario-PI U20 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Julho Esporte U20 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Parnahyba U20 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
5 Caicara U20 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Picos U20 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Corisabba U20 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 Oeirense U20 2 0 1 1 4:6 1
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI U20 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Fluminense Piaui U20 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
3 Tiradentes-PI U20 4 1 2 1 8:7 5
4 River-PI U20 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
5 AE Altos U20 4 0 0 4 2:16 0
Promotion - Piauiense U20 (Play Offs)