Sport Picks

Brazil

Piauiense 2023

Comercial PI

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario-PI play Comercial PI in the Piauiense 2023. Comercial PI are favorites here. Recently, Ferroviario-PI averaged 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. Comercial PI averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario-PI won 0, Comercial PI won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 15, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ferroviario-PI and 1.00 for Comercial PI. This points to a Comercial PI double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Ferroviario-PI

25%

Draws

60%

Comercial PI

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Ferroviario-PI picked up more points recently compared to Comercial PI.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 74%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 15%

Ferroviario-PI Clean Sheet 23%

Comercial PI Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 67%

Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario-PI	Comercial PI
Matches Played	14	30
Wins	0	10
Draws	0	5
Losses	14	15
Goals Scored	0	0.97
Goals Conceded	3	1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.00	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 Piauiense

Comercial PI vs Ferroviario-PI

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 0

3:0

Jan 15, 2023 Piauiense

Ferroviario-PI vs Comercial PI

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario-PI 18 / 100

Comercial PI 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario-PI Comercial PI

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Comercial PI & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviario-PI attacking → ← attacking Comercial PI

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario-PI scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Comercial PI let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ferroviario-PI went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Comercial PI lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 35

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	River-PI	14	9	4	1	29:11	31
2	Fluminense-PI	14	9	4	1	24:9	31
3	AE Altos	14	7	4	3	21:10	25
4	Parnahyba	14	4	8	2	17:11	20
5	Julho Esporte	14	4	4	6	14:14	16
6	Corisabba	14	4	4	6	20:18	13
7	Comercial PI	14	5	0	9	13:23	12
8	Ferroviario-PI	14	0	0	14	0:42	0