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Ferroviario Quelimane vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baia de Pemba in this Mocambola 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baia de Pemba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ferroviario Quelimane
40%
Draws
29%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Baia de Pemba have won more games recently than Ferroviario Quelimane.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Mocambola 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Ferroviario Quelimane Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Quelimane Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2023 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Ferroviario Quelimane
2:1
May 14, 2023 Mocambola
Ferroviario Quelimane vs Baia de Pemba
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario Quelimane 32 / 100
Baia de Pemba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Quelimane Baia de Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Baia de Pemba let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Ferroviario Quelimane remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviario Quelimane's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baia de Pemba
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario Quelimane

(Home)
05 Nov
Ferroviario Quelimane
1 : 0
Matchejde De Maputo
30 Oct
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 1
Ferroviario Quelimane
22 Oct
Ferroviario Quelimane
1 : 0
Ferroviario Maputo
01 Oct
ENH Vilankulo
1 : 0
Ferroviario Quelimane
24 Sept
Ferroviario Quelimane
0 : 1
Ferroviario Nampula
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Baia de Pemba

(Away)
25 Jul
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
01 Jul
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0
Baia de Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1
Baia de Pemba
18 Jun
Baia de Pemba
2 : 2
ENH Vilankulo
24 May
Ferroviario Lichinga
1 : 0
Baia de Pemba
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