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Ferroviario U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20

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Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ferroviario U20 play Atletico Cearense U20 in the Cearense U20 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviario U20 averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Atletico Cearense U20 averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario U20 won 0, Atletico Cearense U20 won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 31, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Ferroviario U20 and 1.54 for Atletico Cearense U20. This points to a Ferroviario U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ferroviario U20
25%
Draws
32%
Atletico Cearense U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Ferroviario U20 picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Cearense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.54 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Cearense U20 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Atletico Cearense U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Atletico Cearense U20
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 42 / 100
Atletico Cearense U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Atletico Cearense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ferroviario U20 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ferroviario U20 attacking → ← attacking Atletico Cearense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Atletico Cearense U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Ferroviario U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Cearense U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 37
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.83
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.83

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ceara U20861127:619
2Floresta EC U20851216:216
3Caucaia U20841310:1013
4Ferroviario U20733113:512
5Horizonte U20832311:911
6Anjos do Ceu U2083059:249
7Alianca Futebol Clube U2082159:197
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fortaleza U20761021:219
2Quixada U2074128:913
3Tirol U20733111:512
4Atletico Cearense U20732210:811
5Pacatuba U20730411:149
6Itapipoca U2071246:105
7Itarema U2070075:280
8Esporte Limoeiro U2060063:190