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Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Honorato I.
80' Event
Honorato I.
90' Event
Ze Neto

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ferroviario U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ferroviario U20
20%
Draws
44%
Ceara U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceara U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ceara U20 come out ahead of Ferroviario U20 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ceara U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ceara U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Ceara U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Ceara U20
Matches Played 28 36
Wins 11 26
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.07 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:0
Oct 2, 2025 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Cearense U20
Ceara U20 vs Ferroviario U20
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Ceara U20
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Honorato I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Ceara U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ze Neto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.61
Avg xA / game 0.98

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 35 / 100
Ceara U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Ceara U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ceara U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ceara U20 conceded in 61% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Ferroviario U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Ceara U20
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.63
17% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Ceara U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Ceara U20
2 : 1
Atletico-PI U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
21 Aug
Tirol U20
2 : 3
Ceara U20
08 Aug
Ceara U20
1 : 1
Tirol U20
02 Aug
Ceara U20
3 : 1
Vila Real U20
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Caucaia U20 2
Floresta EC U20 4
Ferroviario U20 5
Fortaleza U20 2
Atletico Cearense U20 1
Quixada U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 1
Ferroviario U20 3
Fortaleza U20 7
Quixada U20 1
Final
Ferroviario U20 1
Fortaleza U20 6