Sport Picks

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Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 Logo

Ferroviario U20

0 - 1
FT
Fortaleza U20 Logo

Fortaleza U20

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Pompeu Reis E. L.
90'
Matheus Rocha
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ferroviario U20
15%
Draws
37%
Fortaleza U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortaleza U20 come out ahead of Ferroviario U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Fortaleza U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortaleza U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Fortaleza U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferroviario U20 Clean Sheet 24%
Fortaleza U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario U20 Fortaleza U20
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:0
Jul 25, 2026 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Cearense U20
Fortaleza U20 vs Ferroviario U20
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 Cearense U20
Ferroviario U20 vs Fortaleza U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Fortaleza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pompeu Reis E. L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario U20 37 / 100
Fortaleza U20 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario U20 Fortaleza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Fortaleza U20 has conceded goals in 66% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ferroviario U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario U20 VS Fortaleza U20
0.6 Goals Scored 1.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
20% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
EC de Patos U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
25 Jul
Ferroviario U20
0 : 1
Fortaleza U20
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
20 Jun
Ferroviario U20
1 : 0
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 6

Fortaleza U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Fortaleza U20
1 : 2
Piaui U20
04 Sept
Ceara U20
0 : 0
Fortaleza U20
19 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 1
Quixada U20
12 Aug
Quixada U20
1 : 0
Fortaleza U20
01 Aug
Fortaleza U20
3 : 0
Ferroviario U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fortaleza U20 4
Ferroviario U20 0
Floresta EC U20 1
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 5
Vila Real U20 1
Tirol U20 8
Anjos do Ceu U20 0
Semi-finals
Fortaleza U20 3
Quixada U20 2
Ceara U20 4
Tirol U20 3
Final
Fortaleza U20 0
Ceara U20 0