Sport Picks
Ferroviario vs Central SC
Brazil
Serie D Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza 
Match Events
69'
69'
Hitalo Rogerio
Own Goal
84'
84'
Kiuan
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Central SC haven't matched Ferroviario's recent run of results.
- Ferroviario are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Ferroviario have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%
Central SC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Central SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.26 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Central SC
2:0
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Central SC vs Ferroviario
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Serie D
Ferroviario vs Central SC
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Serie D
Central SC vs Ferroviario
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Compare
Top Goalscorer Kiuan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Central SC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario 59 / 100
Central SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Central SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Ferroviario went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Central SC conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario VS Central SC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario
(Home) 26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
23 May
Ferroviario
3 : 1 AE Altos
Page 1 of 4
Central SC
(Away) 28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
21 Jun
Central SC
1 : 1 Ferroviario
14 Jun
Central SC
2 : 1 Laguna RN
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0 Central SC
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
29 May
America RN
1 : 0 Central SC
23 May
Sousa
0 : 0 Central SC
02 May
ABC
1 : 1 Central SC
26 Apr
Maguary
0 : 2 Central SC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 0
ASA 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 2
Uberlandia 1
CSA 0
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
