Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario play Fortaleza in the Cearense. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ferroviario averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Fortaleza averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Ferroviario won 0, Fortaleza won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ferroviario and 0.84 for Fortaleza. This points to a Fortaleza double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferroviario picked up more points recently compared to Fortaleza.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.84 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Fortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.43 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferroviario scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Fortaleza let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Ferroviario went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Fortaleza lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 10 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Horizonte | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Quixada | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Maracana | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:5 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Iguatu | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Maranguape | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 3 |
| 5 | Tirol | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |