Sport Picks

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Ferroviario vs Fortaleza

Brazil Brazil

Cearense Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
dos Santos Clementino F. In: Joao Neto
Out: dos Santos Clementino F.
45'
Bruno Miranda
45'
Bareiro A.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense game between Ferroviario and Fortaleza finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ferroviario
20%
Draws
38%
Fortaleza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ferroviario

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortaleza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario taking it.
  • Regular Cearense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Fortaleza have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 20%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ferroviario Fortaleza
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 14 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Ferroviario vs Fortaleza
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Ferroviario
2:0
Feb 14, 2026 Cearense
Ferroviario vs Fortaleza
0:2
Jan 11, 2026 Cearense
Ferroviario vs Fortaleza
0:0
Mar 8, 2025 Cearense
Fortaleza vs Ferroviario
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario 42 / 100
Fortaleza 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ferroviario Fortaleza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ferroviario found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Ferroviario remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Fortaleza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario VS Fortaleza
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario

(Home)
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2
Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0
Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0
Central SC
Page 1 of 7

Fortaleza

(Away)
22 Jul
Vila Nova FC
2 : 1
Fortaleza
18 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0
Novorizontino
12 Jul
Atletico GO
1 : 0
Fortaleza
03 Jul
Fortaleza
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
28 Jun
Fortaleza
2 : 1
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fortaleza43106:010
2Ferroviario42205:38
3Horizonte41214:45
4Quixada41122:64
5Maracana40041:50
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara43107:210
2Floresta EC42116:27
3Iguatu41304:26
4Maranguape41031:63
5Tirol40131:71
Promotion - Cearense (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cearense (Relegation Group)