Sport Picks
Ferroviario vs Itapipoca
Brazil
Copa Fares Lopes Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza 
Match Events
5'
5'
Victor Diotti
45'
45'
Robo E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Itapipoca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Itapipoca lately — more wins on the board than Ferroviario.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Itapipoca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ferroviario, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ferroviario Clean Sheet 68%
Itapipoca Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferroviario | Itapipoca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 32 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes
Ferroviario vs Itapipoca
1:1
Feb 16, 2017 Cearense
Ferroviario vs Itapipoca
4:0
Feb 4, 2014 Cearense
Itapipoca vs Ferroviario
1:0
Jan 21, 2014 Cearense
Ferroviario vs Itapipoca
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ferroviario Compare
Top Goalscorer Victor Diotti
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Itapipoca Compare
Top Goalscorer Robo E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ferroviario 41 / 100
Itapipoca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ferroviario Itapipoca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ferroviario scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Itapipoca has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Ferroviario remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ferroviario VS Itapipoca
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
Ferroviario
(Home) 26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
18 Jul
Goiatuba EC
3 : 0 Ferroviario
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1 Ferroviario
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
Page 1 of 7
26 Jul
Ferroviario
1 : 2 Goiatuba EC
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0 Imperatriz
28 Jun
Ferroviario
2 : 0 Central SC
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0 Fluminense-PI
23 May
Ferroviario
3 : 1 AE Altos
Page 1 of 4
Itapipoca
(Away) 14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2 Itapipoca
06 Jun
Itapipoca
0 : 0 Icasa
31 May
Itapipoca
2 : 0 Crato
23 May
Crato
2 : 2 Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0 Itapipoca
Page 1 of 7
14 Jun
Icasa
1 : 2 Itapipoca
23 May
Crato
2 : 2 Itapipoca
13 May
Guarany SC
2 : 0 Itapipoca
15 Apr
Atletico Cearense
2 : 3 Itapipoca
05 Apr
Caucaia
3 : 1 Itapipoca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fortaleza B | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Itapipoca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 3 | Ferroviario | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Quixada | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 5 |
| 5 | Atletico Cearense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ceara B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Tirol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 9 |
| 3 | Maracana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 9 |
| 4 | Vila Real | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 5 | Caucaia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Fares Lopes (Play Offs)
