Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D Estadio Presidente Vargas, Fortaleza

Ferroviario

3 - 2

Tirol

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Jeffinho

43'

Black L.

(Penalty)

51'

Jeffinho

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Ferroviario and Tirol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviario.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Ferroviario

30%

Draws

37%

Tirol

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tirol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ferroviario come out ahead of Tirol on wins alone.
Model gives Ferroviario a 36% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%

Ferroviario Clean Sheet 20%

Tirol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ferroviario	Tirol
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	9	6
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.33	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.15	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Serie D

Tirol vs Ferroviario

0:0

Apr 11, 2026 Serie D

Ferroviario vs Tirol

3:2

Nov 27, 2025 Copa Fares Lopes

Tirol vs Ferroviario

3:2

Feb 22, 2025 Cearense

Tirol vs Ferroviario

0:3

Feb 15, 2025 Cearense

Ferroviario vs Tirol

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ferroviario Compare

Top Goalscorer Thalisson

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mena Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.55

Tirol Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffinho

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.85

Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ferroviario 36 / 100

Tirol 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ferroviario Tirol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Ferroviario found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Tirol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Ferroviario stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ferroviario VS Tirol

1.5 Goals Scored 1

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.71

75% Over 1.5 57%

38% Over 2.5 43%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ferroviario

(Home)

26 Jul

Ferroviario

1 : 2

Goiatuba EC

18 Jul

Goiatuba EC

3 : 0

Ferroviario

12 Jul

Ferroviario

3 : 0

Imperatriz

04 Jul

Imperatriz

1 : 1

Ferroviario

28 Jun

Ferroviario

2 : 0

Central SC

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Tirol

(Away)

13 Jun

Piaui

2 : 1

Tirol

01 Jun

Tirol

0 : 0

Ferroviario

26 May

Atletico Cearense

0 : 3

Tirol

16 May

Tirol

1 : 1

Fluminense-PI

09 May

Tirol

1 : 0

AE Altos

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