Sport Picks
Ferrymead Bays vs Wellington Phoenix 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
New Zealand
National League 
AI Match Summary
Ferrymead Bays host Wellington Phoenix 2 in the National League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ferrymead Bays have averaged 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded recently, against Wellington Phoenix 2's 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.65 - 1.39) back Wellington Phoenix 2 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ferrymead Bays haven't matched Wellington Phoenix 2's recent run of results.
- Model gives Ferrymead Bays a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ferrymead Bays | Wellington Phoenix 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 30 |
| Wins | 1 | 10 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.65 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ferrymead Bays found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).
Wellington Phoenix 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.
Difficult form: Wellington Phoenix 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ferrymead Bays has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ferrymead Bays
(Home)Wellington Phoenix 2
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miramar | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cashmere Technical | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Auckland United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Auckland City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington Olympic | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 6 | Ferrymead Bays | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 7 | Napier City | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | 4 |
| 8 | Birkenhead | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 9 | Auckland FC 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 1 |
| 10 | Eastern Suburbs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 11 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:12 | 1 |
