Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie De Kuip, Rotterdam
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Feyenoord host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Feyenoord at 2.23 goals for, 1.3 against; AZ Alkmaar at 2.11 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Feyenoord slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 2.38) point toward Feyenoord. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Feyenoord
20%
Draws
40%
AZ Alkmaar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AZ Alkmaar have won more games recently than Feyenoord.
  • Feyenoord are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 10%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 18 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.23 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord
3:3
Apr 5, 2025 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
3:2
Feb 7, 2024 KNVB Beker
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 47 / 100
AZ Alkmaar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord AZ Alkmaar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AZ Alkmaar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Feyenoord went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS AZ Alkmaar
2.25 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7
Feyenoord
09 Sept
Barcelona
5 : 1
Feyenoord
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3
Feyenoord
30 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 2
Den Haag
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5
Feyenoord
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AZ Alkmaar

(Away)
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
11 Sept
AZ Alkmaar
1 : 1
Willem II
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3
AZ Alkmaar
29 Aug
AZ Alkmaar
5 : 2
G.A. Eagles
22 Aug
Sittard
0 : 2
AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 7 5 2 0 25:7 17
2 PSV 6 5 1 0 22:7 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
4 Ajax 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
6 Sittard 7 4 1 2 13:14 13
7 Excelsior 7 3 2 2 15:9 11
8 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15:13 11
9 G.A. Eagles 6 2 3 1 15:13 9
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11:9 9
11 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5:11 5
13 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10:17 5
14 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10:19 5
15 Utrecht 7 1 2 4 11:24 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6:20 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7:17 2
18 Willem II 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)