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Stadium Background

Feyenoord vs Excelsior - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie De Kuip, Rotterdam
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Feyenoord host Excelsior in the Eredivisie. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Feyenoord have averaged 2.43 scored and 1.18 conceded recently, against Excelsior's 2 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Feyenoord slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.44 - 1.31) back Feyenoord to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Feyenoord
30%
Draws
23%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Feyenoord carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Feyenoord a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Feyenoord here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 18%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord Excelsior
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2.43 2
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Excelsior
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
1:2
May 19, 2024 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Excelsior
4:0
Nov 25, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
2:4
May 7, 2023 Eredivisie
Excelsior vs Feyenoord
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 76 / 100
Excelsior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Feyenoord Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Feyenoord has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS Excelsior
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
31 Oct
Feyenoord
1 : 1
Sittard
25 Oct
PSV
1 : 1
Feyenoord
21 Oct
Betis
1 : 0
Feyenoord
17 Oct
Telstar
3 : 4
Feyenoord
14 Oct
Feyenoord
3 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

Excelsior

(Away)
28 Oct
Maastricht
0 : 3
Excelsior
25 Oct
Sittard
1 : 0
Excelsior
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
19 Sept
Ajax
2 : 2
Excelsior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)