Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Feyenoord vs Groningen

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie 2025/2026 De Kuip, Rotterdam
Feyenoord Logo

Feyenoord

3 - 1
FT
Groningen Logo

Groningen

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Bos J.
Assist: Valente L.
21'
Vaessen E.
22' Event
Ueda A.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Feyenoord in this Eredivisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Feyenoord.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Feyenoord
15%
Draws
27%
Groningen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Feyenoord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Feyenoord lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
  • Feyenoord are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Feyenoord have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Feyenoord Clean Sheet 20%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord Groningen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.9 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Groningen
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Feyenoord
0:1
Apr 2, 2025 Eredivisie
Feyenoord vs Groningen
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Feyenoord
2:2
Feb 29, 2024 KNVB Beker
Feyenoord vs Groningen
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feyenoord Compare

Top Goalscorer Bos J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ueda A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Groningen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bergen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord 85 / 100
Groningen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord Groningen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Feyenoord has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Groningen conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord VS Groningen
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord

(Home)
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1
Feyenoord
02 Aug
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Atalanta
26 Jul
Feyenoord
2 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
17 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Charleroi
11 Jul
Feyenoord
3 : 1
Club Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Groningen

(Away)
09 Aug
Groningen
2 : 1
Utrecht
01 Aug
Groningen
1 : 0
Valladolid
31 Jul
Groningen
1 : 3
Almere City
25 Jul
Groningen
0 : 0
Volos
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4
FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV 34 27 3 4 101:45 84
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 70:44 65
3 Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 77:53 59
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 59:40 58
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 62:41 56
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 55:42 53
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 58:51 52
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 57:53 51
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 49:45 48
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 40:62 43
11 Sittard 34 11 6 17 49:63 39
12 G.A. Eagles 34 8 14 12 54:53 38
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 43:56 38
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 49:55 37
15 Zwolle 34 9 10 15 44:71 37
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 35:55 32
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 35:58 29
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 35:85 19
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)