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Feyenoord W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex Varkenoord 1, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Kees S.
Assist: te Brake S.
36' Event
Spitse S.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
van de Lavoir R. In: Stoit F.
Out: van de Lavoir R.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women game between Feyenoord W and Ajax W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Feyenoord W
15%
Draws
57%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ajax W come out ahead of Feyenoord W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ajax W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Eredivisie Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ajax W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Feyenoord W Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Feyenoord W Ajax W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 13 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.58 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs Ajax W
1:4
May 25, 2026 Eredivisie Cup Women
Ajax W vs Feyenoord W
3:0
Apr 26, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Feyenoord W
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Feyenoord W vs Ajax W
0:1
Feb 8, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Feyenoord W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Feyenoord W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kees S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader te Brake S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Feyenoord W 10 / 100
Ajax W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Feyenoord W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feyenoord W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Ajax W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Feyenoord W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Feyenoord W VS Ajax W
1.75 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Feyenoord W

(Home)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Valerenga W
2 : 1
Feyenoord W
26 Sept
Feyenoord W
2 : 3
PEC Zwolle W
23 Sept
Feyenoord W
4 : 1
Valerenga W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
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Ajax W

(Away)
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)