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Fezzanese vs Casale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Mariotti L.
26' Event
Andrei T.
45' Event
Baudi A.

AI Match Summary

Fezzanese in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fezzanese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fezzanese
35%
Draws
13%
Casale
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fezzanese have won more games recently than Casale.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Fezzanese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 20%
Casale Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Casale
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 1
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.29 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Casale
5:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Fezzanese
0:1
Jan 5, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Fezzanese
4:2
Sep 1, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Casale
1:0
Mar 31, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Casale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariotti L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Andrei T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Casale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 85 / 100
Casale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Casale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Casale let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Fezzanese scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Fezzanese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 7

Casale

(Away)
07 May
Casale
1 : 1
Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1
Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2
Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0
Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2
Castanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)