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Fezzanese vs Fulgens Foligno

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 game between Fezzanese and Fulgens Foligno finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Fezzanese
30%
Draws
33%
Fulgens Foligno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Fulgens Foligno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fezzanese a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 10%
Fulgens Foligno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Fulgens Foligno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Fulgens Foligno
0:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Fulgens Foligno vs Fezzanese
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 56 / 100
Fulgens Foligno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Fulgens Foligno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fezzanese scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Fulgens Foligno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Fezzanese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Fulgens Foligno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 6

Fulgens Foligno

(Away)
11 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 2
Orvietana
04 May
Fulgens Foligno
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
27 Apr
Livorno
2 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
17 Apr
Fulgens Foligno
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
12 Apr
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Fulgens Foligno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)