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Fezzanese vs Ghiviborgo Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fischer F.
22' Event
Mariotti L.
35' Event
Fiori L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Fezzanese
20%
Draws
10%
Ghiviborgo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ghiviborgo at 1.23 per game, Fezzanese at 1.17.
  • Win probability leans Fezzanese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 20%
Ghiviborgo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Ghiviborgo
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Ghiviborgo
3:3
Dec 22, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Fezzanese
4:2
Apr 26, 2020 Serie D - Group A
Ghiviborgo vs Fezzanese
0:0
Dec 15, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Fezzanese vs Ghiviborgo
2:2
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Ghiviborgo vs Fezzanese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariotti L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fiori L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ghiviborgo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischer F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gori L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 85 / 100
Ghiviborgo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Ghiviborgo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ghiviborgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Fezzanese scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Fezzanese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Ghiviborgo
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
27 Sept
Imperia Calcio
2 : 0
Fezzanese
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Sestri Levante
0 : 3
Fezzanese
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
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Ghiviborgo

(Away)
27 Sept
Prato
2 : 1
Ghiviborgo
20 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 1
Mezzolara
16 Sept
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 0
Ghiviborgo
12 Sept
Ghiviborgo
1 : 3
Terranuova Traiana
06 Sept
Flaminia
2 : 0
Ghiviborgo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)