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Fezzanese vs Sporting Trestina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Masi T.
65' Event
Ferri Marini D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fezzanese
35%
Draws
13%
Sporting Trestina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fezzanese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sporting Trestina lately — more wins on the board than Fezzanese.
  • Win probability leans Fezzanese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Fezzanese Clean Sheet 68%
Sporting Trestina Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fezzanese Sporting Trestina
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Fezzanese vs Sporting Trestina
1:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group E
Sporting Trestina vs Fezzanese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fezzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Masi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sporting Trestina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferri Marini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fezzanese 68 / 100
Sporting Trestina 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fezzanese Sporting Trestina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fezzanese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fezzanese's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sporting Trestina let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Fezzanese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fezzanese VS Sporting Trestina
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fezzanese

(Home)
13 Sept
Fezzanese
2 : 0
Chisola
06 Sept
Bra
1 : 1
Fezzanese
04 May
Fezzanese
3 : 3
Ghiviborgo
27 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 0
Fezzanese
17 Apr
Fezzanese
4 : 2
Siena
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Trestina

(Away)
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
06 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 5
Vigor Senigallia
29 Jul
Gubbio
2 : 0
Sporting Trestina
03 May
Siena
4 : 4
Sporting Trestina
26 Apr
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Prato
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Livorno 34 21 9 4 74:44 72
2 Fulgens Foligno 34 17 9 8 61:44 60
3 Seravezza Pozzi 34 16 11 7 53:39 59
4 Ghiviborgo 34 17 4 13 65:57 55
5 Orvietana 34 15 8 11 44:41 53
6 Siena 34 14 10 10 35:32 52
7 Grosseto 34 13 11 10 39:34 50
8 Ostiamare 34 12 9 13 49:53 45
9 Poggibonsi 34 12 7 15 32:36 43
10 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 11 10 13 26:26 43
11 Montevarchi 34 9 14 11 36:39 41
12 Flaminia 34 10 10 14 42:43 40
13 Follonica Gavorrano 34 10 10 14 40:45 40
14 Terranuova Traiana 34 8 15 11 34:47 39
15 Figline 34 9 11 14 29:33 38
16 Sporting Trestina 34 9 11 14 35:45 38
17 Sangiovannese 34 9 9 16 30:38 36
18 Fezzanese 34 6 8 20 35:63 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2024/2025 (Play Out)