Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FF Norden vs Differdange

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019
FF Norden Logo

FF Norden

1 - 2
FT
Differdange Logo

Differdange

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Differdange in this Luxembourg Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
FF Norden
15%
Draws
61%
Differdange
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Differdange

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FF Norden haven't matched Differdange's recent run of results.
  • Differdange are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Differdange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Differdange, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Differdange have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FF Norden Clean Sheet 17%
Differdange Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FF Norden Differdange
Matches Played 17 33
Wins 6 23
Draws 0 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.12 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.94 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2018 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Differdange
1:2
Oct 29, 2017 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Differdange
0:9
Nov 30, 2013 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Differdange
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FF Norden 10 / 100
Differdange 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FF Norden Differdange

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Differdange Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

FF Norden's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Differdange has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: FF Norden remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

FF Norden VS Differdange
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FF Norden

(Home)
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4
Grevenmacher
Page 1 of 4

Differdange

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeunesse Useldange
1 : 5
Differdange
16 Sept
Differdange
3 : 0
Hesperange
12 Sept
Differdange
1 : 0
Ettelbruck
06 Sept
Differdange
4 : 1
Kaerjeng
30 Aug
Hostert
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dudelange 7
Kehlen 1
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
US Sandweiler 4
CS Bourscheid 2
Excelsior Grevels 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 1
Fola 7
Differdange 2
FF Norden 1
Bettembourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
Hesperange 6
Jeunesse Schieren 3
FC Orania Vianden 0
Mondorf 7
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 4
Jeunesse Biwer 0
Schifflange 1
FC Mamer 4
Jeunesse Canach 4
Diekirch 2
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Bissen 7
Luxembourg City 4
Echternach 0
Syra Mensdorf 2
Erpeldange 3
Hostert 4
Lintgen 0
US Feulen 1
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Oberkorn 1
Blo Weiss Medernach 2
Koeppchen 4
Alliance Aischdall 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 3
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 6
Etoile Sportive Schouweiler 0
CS Sanem 1
Union Tetange 3
FC Rodange 91 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Steinfort 0
Victoria Rosport 1
UNA Strassen 6
Jeunesse Useldange 1
Union Remich/Bous 0
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 4
AS Colmar-Berg 0
Mondercange 0
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 3
Berdenia Berbourg 0
AS Wincrange 0
Kaerjeng 6
Cebra 3
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 1
Ettelbruck 10
1/16-finals
Dudelange 6
US Sandweiler 0
CS Bourscheid 1
Fola 16
Differdange 3
Racing Luxembourg 2
Hesperange 1
Mondorf 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Canach 0
Bissen 2
Luxembourg City 6
Erpeldange 2
Hostert 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 5
Koeppchen 1
Alliance Aischdall 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Wiltz 2
Union Tetange 1
FC Rodange 91 1
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 4
Rumelange 1
Union Titus Petange 1
Esch 2
Jeunesse Esch 5
Kaerjeng 0
Cebra 0
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Dudelange 2
Fola 1
Differdange 1
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 1
Bissen 0
Luxembourg City 2
Progres Niedercorn 4
Mertert/Wasserbillig 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Wiltz 0
Victoria Rosport 2
UNA Strassen 2
Esch 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
Ettelbruck 1
Quarter-finals
Dudelange 3
Mondorf 2
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
Victoria Rosport 0
UNA Strassen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Dudelange 3
Progres Niedercorn 1
Mertert/Wasserbillig 0
Ettelbruck 3
Final
Dudelange 5
Ettelbruck 0