Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FF Norden vs Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Esch in this Luxembourg Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FF Norden
15%
Draws
42%
Esch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FF Norden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esch lately — more wins on the board than FF Norden.
  • Win probability leans FF Norden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Esch arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Esch, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FF Norden Clean Sheet 10%
Esch Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FF Norden Esch
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 6 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.12 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.94 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2015 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Esch
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FF Norden 83 / 100
Esch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FF Norden Esch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FF Norden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: FF Norden scored in 71% of their last 17 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Esch's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

FF Norden VS Esch
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FF Norden

(Home)
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4
Grevenmacher
Page 1 of 4

Esch

(Away)
19 Sept
Esch
0 : 8
UNA Strassen
02 Oct
Esch
1 : 7
Bettembourg
06 Apr
Esch
3 : 9
Progres Niedercorn
31 Oct
Esch
2 : 1
Jeunesse Esch
03 Oct
CS Sanem
0 : 2
Esch
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Mondorf -
TBD -
FC Orania Vianden 0
Hostert 7
Sporting Bertrange 2
Alliance Aischdall 1
TBD -
Luxembourg City -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Lorentzweiler 0
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Hesperange 3
Alisontia Steinsel 2
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg -
UNA Strassen -
TBD -
US Sandweiler 3
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Bissen 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
AS Hosingen 3
FC 47 Bastendorf 4
Lintgen 4
Echternach 2
TBD -
Fola -
Dudelange -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
Erpeldange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Red Boys Aspelt 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Differdange -
TBD -
Union Tetange 0
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
FC Munsbach 2
Kaerjeng 4
Rumelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
FC Mamer 1
Jeunesse Schieren 3
Mondercange 1
TBD -
Wiltz -
Esch 3
Oberkorn 1
Union Remich/Bous 2
FF Norden 3
FC Rodange 91 7
FC Brouch 0
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 5
1/16-finals
Mondorf 2
Hostert 1
Sporting Bertrange 0
Luxembourg City 4
Victoria Rosport 3
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
Hesperange 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
UNA Strassen 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Bissen 1
Ettelbruck 2
Progres Niedercorn 5
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Lintgen 1
Fola 3
Dudelange 2
Erpeldange 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Jeunesse Esch 4
Differdange 4
Avenir Beggen 1
Grevenmacher 0
Kaerjeng 1
Rumelange 2
FC Mamer 0
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Wiltz 4
Esch 3
FF Norden 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Union Titus Petange 4
1/8-finals
Mondorf 2
Luxembourg City 0
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 2
UNA Strassen 3
Ettelbruck 1
Progres Niedercorn 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 5
Jeunesse Esch 0
Differdange 2
Kaerjeng 3
Rumelange 1
Wiltz 0
Esch 0
Union Titus Petange 1
Quarter-finals
Mondorf 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
UNA Strassen 0
Fola 4
Dudelange 4
Kaerjeng 2
Rumelange 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Semi-finals
Mondorf 1
Fola 0
Dudelange 4
Union Titus Petange 0
Final
Mondorf 0
Dudelange 1