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FF Norden vs Grevenmacher

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Grevenmacher in this Luxembourg Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FF Norden
15%
Draws
42%
Grevenmacher
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FF Norden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FF Norden haven't matched Grevenmacher's recent run of results.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Grevenmacher arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Grevenmacher, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FF Norden Clean Sheet 10%
Grevenmacher Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FF Norden Grevenmacher
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.12 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.94 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2022 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Grevenmacher
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FF Norden 30 / 100
Grevenmacher 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FF Norden Grevenmacher

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Grevenmacher Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grevenmacher's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

FF Norden's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

Grevenmacher lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FF Norden VS Grevenmacher
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FF Norden

(Home)
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4
Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0
Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4
Grevenmacher
Page 1 of 4

Grevenmacher

(Away)
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
3 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
20 Sept
Grevenmacher
0 : 3
UNA Strassen
28 Oct
Grevenmacher
2 : 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler
01 Oct
FC Kopstal 33
0 : 2
Grevenmacher
30 Oct
Grevenmacher
0 : 2
Differdange
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Red Star Merl/Belair 0
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Diekirch 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 2
FC Rodange 91 1
CS Sanem 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Les Ardoisiers Perle 1
Jeunesse Esch 14
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 0
Wiltz 5
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Mamer 2
Koeppchen 1
Hostert 2
Echternach 3
Bissen 2
Mertzig 0
Mondorf 4
Cebra 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 1
UNA Strassen 8
US Feulen 4
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Pratzerthal/Redange 0
Berdenia Berbourg 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Jeunesse Canach 0
FC 47 Bastendorf 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
FF Norden 1
Grevenmacher 4
Racing Troisvierges 0
Differdange 12
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
Harlange/Tarchamps 0
Hesperange 9
Clemency 1
Rumelange 4
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Schieren 3
AS Wincrange 0
Progres Niedercorn 6
AS Luxembourg/Porto 0
Kaerjeng 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Ettelbruck 3
Blo Weiss Itzig 0
Union Titus Petange 2
Esch 1
Bettembourg 7
FC Munsbach 1
Dudelange 5
Steinfort 0
Mondercange 8
Lorentzweiler 0
Victoria Rosport 3
FC Schengen 3
Schifflange 2
Kehlen 0
Fola 6
1/16-finals
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Luxembourg City 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Jeunesse Esch 0
Wiltz 1
FC Mamer 2
Hostert 5
Echternach 0
Mondorf 7
Cebra 1
UNA Strassen 6
US Feulen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Avenir Beggen 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Grevenmacher 0
Differdange 2
FC Red Black/Egalite 07 1
Hesperange 5
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Schieren 1
Progres Niedercorn 1
Kaerjeng 0
Ettelbruck 2
Union Titus Petange 3
Bettembourg 1
Dudelange 4
Mondercange 0
Victoria Rosport 2
FC Schengen 1
Fola 3
1/8-finals
Luxembourg City 0
FC Marisca Mersch 6
Wiltz 4
Hostert 1
Mondorf 2
UNA Strassen 1
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Racing Luxembourg 4
Differdange 1
Hesperange 0
Rumelange 1
Progres Niedercorn 3
Union Titus Petange 2
Dudelange 3
Victoria Rosport 2
Fola 0
Quarter-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Wiltz 1
Mondorf 1
Racing Luxembourg 0
Differdange 3
Progres Niedercorn 2
Dudelange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Semi-finals
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Mondorf 1
Differdange 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Final
FC Marisca Mersch 2
Differdange 4