Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mondercange in this Luxembourg Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FF Norden
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mondercange lately — more wins on the board than FF Norden.
- Win probability leans FF Norden's way, sitting at 70%.
- Mondercange arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mondercange, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
FF Norden Clean Sheet 18%
Mondercange Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | FF Norden | Mondercange |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 17 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.22 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.94 | 2.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Luxembourg Cup
FF Norden vs Mondercange
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
FF Norden 67 / 100
Mondercange 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
FF Norden Mondercange
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FF Norden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mondercange let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
FF Norden's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 17 recent games.
Difficult form: Mondercange registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
FF Norden VS Mondercange
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
FF Norden
(Home) 21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2 UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0 Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0 Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4 Grevenmacher
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21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
03 Apr
FF Norden
1 : 2 UNA Strassen
29 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0 Lorentzweiler
01 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 0 Victoria Rosport
02 Oct
FF Norden
1 : 4 Grevenmacher
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Mondercange
(Away) 20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
09 Nov
Mondercange
2 : 3 Victoria Rosport
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
28 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 6 FC Mamer
19 Jul
Mondercange
0 : 3 Kaerjeng
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20 Sept
US Folschette
1 : 4 Mondercange
21 Sept
FF Norden
1 : 4 Mondercange
13 Jul
Jeunesse Esch
6 : 0 Mondercange
25 May
Progres Niedercorn
7 : 2 Mondercange
11 May
Dudelange
2 : 3 Mondercange
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Ehlerange 0
Differdange 9
Jeunesse Schieren 0
Union Titus Petange 4
Les Aiglons Dalheim 2
The Belval Belvaux 6
Grevenmacher 0
UNA Strassen 3
Kehlen 2
Ettelbruck 3
Echternach 0
Racing Luxembourg 7
FC Munsbach 3
FC Residence Walferdange 1
US Sandweiler 2
Jeunesse Canach 5
Avenir Beggen 2
Rumelange 3
Jeunesse Biwer 1
Fola 4
Oberkorn 0
Hesperange 3
Racing Heiderscheid/Eschdorf 0
Hostert 4
FC Koerich/Simmern 2
Koeppchen 0
FC Schengen 2
Luxembourg City 4
Gasperich 0
Lorentzweiler 1
US Folschette 0
FC Rodange 91 5
Union Remich/Bous 1
Dudelange 3
FC Noertzange HF 0
Bissen 9
FC Kopstal 33 1
Berdenia Berbourg 2
CS Sanem 1
Mondorf 6
Olympia Christnach/Waldbillig 2
Wiltz 6
ALSS Luxembourg 2
FC Marisca Mersch 4
Syra Mensdorf 0
Progres Niedercorn 3
Blo Weiss Medernach 1
Jeunesse Esch 2
Miniere Lasauvage 2
US Feulen 4
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Bettembourg 6
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 3
Schifflange 2
Mertzig 2
Alisontia Steinsel 3
Jeunesse Gilsdorf 1
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 0
Kaerjeng 3
FF Norden 1
Mondercange 4
US Moutfort/Medingen 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/16-finals
Differdange 2
Union Titus Petange 1
The Belval Belvaux 2
UNA Strassen 4
Ettelbruck 2
Racing Luxembourg 3
FC Munsbach 2
Jeunesse Canach 3
Rumelange 2
Fola 4
Hesperange 0
Hostert 3
FC Koerich/Simmern 0
Luxembourg City 2
Lorentzweiler 2
FC Rodange 91 4
Dudelange 1
Bissen 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Mondorf 2
Wiltz 6
FC Marisca Mersch 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
Jeunesse Esch 0
US Feulen 2
Bettembourg 1
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Alisontia Steinsel 2
FC Mamer 2
Kaerjeng 0
Mondercange 2
Victoria Rosport 3
1/8-finals
Differdange 4
UNA Strassen 3
Racing Luxembourg 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Fola 3
Hostert 1
Luxembourg City 0
FC Rodange 91 2
Bissen 2
Mondorf 1
Wiltz 0
Progres Niedercorn 1
US Feulen 1
Alisontia Steinsel 0
FC Mamer 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Quarter-finals
Differdange 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Fola 0
FC Rodange 91 1
Bissen 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
US Feulen 1
Victoria Rosport 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 2
FC Rodange 91 1
Progres Niedercorn 2
Victoria Rosport 3
Final
Differdange 4
Victoria Rosport 1
