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Fgura vs Gharghur

Malta Malta

Division 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2016/2017 game between Fgura and Gharghur finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fgura
20%
Draws
42%
Gharghur
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gharghur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Fgura carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fgura's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fgura Clean Sheet 18%
Gharghur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fgura Gharghur
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2017 Challenge League
Fgura vs Gharghur
2:2
Jan 6, 2017 Challenge League
Gharghur vs Fgura
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fgura 85 / 100
Gharghur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fgura Gharghur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fgura Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fgura's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gharghur conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Fgura has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fgura VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fgura

(Home)
19 Sept
Fgura
1 : 1
Sirens
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
19 Apr
Swieqi
1 : 1
Fgura
11 Apr
Melita
0 : 1
Fgura
04 Apr
Fgura
0 : 4
Pieta
Page 1 of 7

Gharghur

(Away)
26 Oct
Rabat Ajax
4 : 1
Gharghur
14 Sept
Sannat Lions
0 : 1
Gharghur
27 Oct
Marsa
5 : 1
Gharghur
09 Sept
Gharghur
3 : 1
Xaghra
02 Sept
Qala Saints
1 : 3
Gharghur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lija 26 16 6 4 63:34 54
2 Senglea 26 16 5 5 57:21 53
3 Naxxar Lions 26 16 3 7 57:37 51
4 Qormi 26 13 7 6 36:26 46
5 Mqabba FC 26 13 5 8 39:32 44
6 Pieta 26 13 2 11 48:38 41
7 Vittoriosa 26 12 4 10 50:37 40
8 Sirens 26 10 4 12 40:44 34
9 Melita 26 8 7 11 29:39 31
10 Zebbug 26 8 6 12 40:47 30
11 Rabat Ajax 26 7 6 13 33:54 27
12 Marsa 26 7 4 15 35:49 25
13 Gharghur 26 4 6 16 30:65 18
14 Fgura 26 3 7 16 20:54 16
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)